A little over three years ago, Ars published an article evaluating the capabilities of four big rockets for the first time in 2020. Spoiler warning: Fail no Thing. None of them even succeeded in 2021. Will next year be a year for some of them? p>
Maybe. maybe. We certainly hope so.
At the time of publication of the older article, July 2018, there was still a set launch date for four heavy-duty rockets for 2020 - the European Space Agency's Arian 6, NASA's Space Launch System, the Blue New Glen Origin rocket and the Vulcan belong to to the United Launch Alliance. This article estimates the actual launch dates and predicts that the Ariane 6 Europe will be the only rocket to be launched in 2020. Unfortunately, the four expected dates were too optimistic. Premiere 2020 - Will Anyone Succeed? The 2018 article also included a brief reference to SpaceX's next Heavy, then known as the "Great Falcon Rocket," or BFR. The rocket has since undergone several renaming processes, so the boost stage is now called "super heavy" while the first stage is known as the "spacecraft." There were questions about the missile's budget at the time. These questions have since been answered, and remarkably—despite being larger and more complex and launched much later than the other four large rockets—StarShip may attempt an orbital launch before all the others.>
Current official release date: "January or February" 2022
Previous estimated launch date: Not available
Estimated launch date for our current launch: Q2 2022
SpaceX has already launched its Starship vehicle With multiple launches at an altitude of about 10 km, but the real test will be done with an Orbit test flight. This is scheduled for early 2022 and is awaiting completion of the environmental review process and approval by the Federal Aviation Administration. The problems with the Raptor rocket engine should also be addressed, we will see a relatively high speed. substitution. SpaceX is nearing the end of the second version of its Super Heavy booster, and additional starships are ready for launch. Thus, the company should benefit from its "hardware-rich" strategy. Zoom in/view of the NASA SLS rocket, nearly fully assembled, September 2021. Launch system NA h2>
Capacity LEO: 95 tons
Current official launch date: March-April 2022
Previous launch date: Q2 2021
Date Current launch Our estimates: Summer 2022
NASA recently lowered the SLS launch target from February 2022 to March or April. The delay occurred on November 22 after the "controller" or flight computer was disconnected from one of the four main engines that powered the rocket. The console should now be replaced. Prior to this topic, a plan was announced to launch the rocket on the launch pad at the end of December, and this will not happen now. . It is also unlikely that this method will happen without problems, since NASA and its contractors will deal with the completed rocket for the first time. This is the point of the missile's development when at least minor problems are discovered. After the launch pad is tested for refueling, the rocket is returned to the Vehicle Assembly Building at the Kennedy Space Center to hook up the fireworks. April. Throwing away may result in a wet garment test result. p>
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